Waste & Plastic · deep dive

A throwaway world

Plastic production has gone from 2 to over 460 million tonnes a year in a single lifetime — and only a sliver is ever recycled. The rest is buried, burned, or lost to the environment. Meanwhile the richer the world gets, the more it throws away.

Back to the overview

Bottom line: Global plastic production is 460 Mt as of 2019, up 22887% from 2 Mt in 1950. Tracked here with 3 related indicators: Material footprint per person, Fertilizer use, Freshwater use.

Global plastic production

From 2 to 460 million tonnes a year — most of it used once, then discarded.

460Mt

latest · 2019

Dashed: projected to 533 Mt by 2024 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Material footprint per person

Each person now draws down about 12 tonnes of raw materials a year.

12.3t per person

latest · 2022

Dashed: projected to 12.1 t per person by 2027 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Fertilizer use

Synthetic fertiliser use has multiplied sixfold since 1961, overloading rivers and seas with nutrients.

183Mt

latest · 2023

Dashed: projected to 193 Mt by 2028 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

1961

28 Mt

change since

+556%

Freshwater use

Humanity now withdraws about six times more freshwater than a century ago.

3986km³

latest · 2014

Dashed: projected to 4126 km³ by 2019 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Where the world’s plastic waste ends up

2019 end-of-life shares.

  • Landfilled50%
  • Mismanaged22%
  • Incinerated19%
  • Recycled9%

The richer we get, the more we throw away

The world generates 2,010 million tonnes of municipal waste a year — projected to hit 3,400 Mt by 2050. A person in a high-income country bins 1.57 kg every day.

Low income0.43 kg/day
Lower-middle0.61 kg/day
Upper-middle0.69 kg/day
High income1.57 kg/day

How we know · methodology

Plastic production is global annual output of primary plastics, compiled by Geyer et al. (2017) and extended by the OECD, distributed via Our World in Data. It counts polymer resin produced, not waste generated.

Material footprint per person (UN International Resource Panel, SDG 12.2.1, via OWID) is the total raw material — biomass, fossil fuels, metals and minerals — extracted worldwide to satisfy each person’s consumption, wherever in the world that extraction happens. It is the upstream measure of throughput behind all the waste below: it has risen from about 9 to 12 tonnes per person since 2000.

Fertiliser use (FAO, via OWID) is the global tonnage of synthetic nitrogen, phosphate and potash applied to farmland each year. It has multiplied roughly sixfold since 1961. The nutrients that boost crop yields also run off into rivers and seas, where they feed algal blooms and create oxygen-starved “dead zones” — the planetary boundary scientists call disrupted biogeochemical flows.

Freshwater use (IGB long-run reconstruction, via OWID) is the world’s total annual withdrawal of freshwater for farms, factories and homes, in cubic kilometres, reconstructed back to 1901. It has risen roughly sixfold over the century — overwhelmingly to irrigate crops — draining rivers, lakes and aquifers faster than they refill. The series ends in 2014 (the latest in this long-run compilation) and recent decades show a slowing, plateau-like trend.

The end-of-life breakdown is the OECD Global Plastics Outlook’s 2019 baseline: the share of plastic waste that is landfilled, mismanaged, incinerated or recycled, plus the estimated ~1.7 Mt/yr that reaches the ocean.

Municipal solid waste per person is from the World Bank’s What a Waste 2.0 (2018), grouped by national income. The gap between low- and high-income generation is the clearest signal that waste tracks consumption, not population.

What bends this curve

Despair changes nothing; choices do. These habits measurably move the trend above — start with one, and ask the Earth guide how far it goes.

Easy

Refuse single-use plastic

Only ~9% of all plastic ever made has been recycled. A reusable bottle, cup and bag removes hundreds of single-use items from the waste stream every year.

Easy

Waste less food

Roughly a third of all food is wasted; if it were a country it would be the 3rd-largest emitter. Planning meals and using leftovers cuts both your bin and your footprint.