Climate · deep dive

A warming world, in our own hand

We burn carbon, the air thickens with CO₂, the planet heats, and the forests that once buffered it shrink. These curves move together because they are one story — ours. Here is the full record behind each one.

Back to the overview

Bottom line: Global temperature anomaly is 1.19 °C as of 2025, up 761% from -0.18 °C in 1880. Tracked here with 11 related indicators: Atmospheric CO₂, Atmospheric methane, Atmospheric nitrous oxide, Global fossil CO₂ emissions, Greenhouse gases (fossil & industry), CO₂ emissions per person, Fossil fuel production, Global tree cover loss, Global forest area, Renewable electricity share, Electric car sales share.

Global temperature anomaly

The planet is running a fever it has never had in recorded history.

1.19°C

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 1.32 °C by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

1880

-0.18 °C

change since

+761%

Atmospheric CO₂

CO₂ is higher than at any point in at least 800,000 years — and still climbing.

427ppm

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 440 ppm by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Atmospheric methane

Methane — ~80× more warming than CO₂ over 20 years — is climbing fast.

1936ppb

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 1992 ppb by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Atmospheric nitrous oxide

Nitrous oxide — ~270× the warming of CO₂ — keeps climbing, largely from fertiliser.

338.9ppb

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 344.1 ppb by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Global fossil CO₂ emissions

We still pump ~38 billion tonnes of CO₂ into the air every single year.

38.6Gt

latest · 2024

Dashed: projected to 39.4 Gt by 2029 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Greenhouse gases (fossil & industry)

All warming gases from fossil fuels and industry keep climbing — over 43 Gt CO₂e a year.

43.7Gt CO₂e

latest · 2024

Dashed: projected to 45.1 Gt CO₂e by 2029 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

CO₂ emissions per person

The average person emits about twice as much CO₂ as in 1950 — and it has barely fallen.

4.7t

latest · 2024

Dashed: projected to 4.6 t by 2029 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Fossil fuel production

We pull up and burn more coal, oil and gas every decade — not less.

145PWh

latest · 2024

Dashed: projected to 150 PWh by 2029 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Global tree cover loss

Every year the world loses an area of trees larger than England.

17.7M ha

latest · 2024

Dashed: projected to 17.3 M ha by 2029 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Global forest area

The world has lost a Mexico-sized area of forest since 1990 — and it keeps shrinking.

41.4M km²

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 41.2 M km² by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Renewable electricity share

A third of the world’s electricity is now renewable — the one curve finally bending up.

34%

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 38 % by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

Electric car sales share

A quarter of new cars sold are now electric — up from almost none a decade ago.

25%

latest · 2025

Dashed: projected to 33 % by 2030 if the recent trend holds (not a forecast).

How we know · methodology

Temperature is shown as an anomaly — the departure from the 1951–1980 average — because anomalies combine consistently across thousands of land and ocean stations. NASA’s GISTEMP v4 blends station records with sea-surface measurements; the value for the current year is a year-to-date mean and firms up as more months report.

Atmospheric CO₂ is the annual mean from NOAA’s Mauna Loa observatory, the longest continuous direct record (the Keeling Curve, since 1958). Fossil CO₂ emissions are the Global Carbon Project’s estimate of CO₂ from fossil fuels and industry, excluding land-use change, distributed via Our World in Data.

Greenhouse gases (fossil & industry) is the broader companion to the fossil-CO₂ line: it adds methane, nitrous oxide and fluorinated gases from energy and industry, all converted to a common 100-year CO₂-equivalent (Jones et al. 2025, via OWID). It excludes land-use change and so is a conservative floor on total warming pollution — already over 43 Gt CO₂e a year.

Two views of the cause: CO₂ per person (Global Carbon Project) is the global average fossil emission per head — it has roughly doubled since 1950 and, tellingly, has barely fallen since, even as efficiency improved. Fossil fuel production (Energy Institute) is the coal, oil and gas we extract each year in petawatt-hours; despite every climate pledge, it has kept climbing decade on decade.

Forest area (FAO, via OWID) is the world’s total forest cover; it has fallen by about a Mexico-sized area since 1990. It is the slow-moving net stock behind the faster `forest loss` series above — the standing forest that is still, on balance, shrinking.

Atmospheric methane (CH₄) is NOAA’s globally-averaged annual mean (parts per billion) from a network of marine surface sites. Methane is a far more potent greenhouse gas than CO₂ — roughly 80× over 20 years — though it is shorter-lived; it has risen from ~1,645 ppb in 1984 to over 1,930, with a sharp acceleration since 2007.

Nitrous oxide (N₂O) — the third major greenhouse gas, ~270× as warming as CO₂ and very long-lived — is NOAA’s global annual mean (the global record begins in 2001). It has climbed steadily from ~316 to ~339 ppb, driven mainly by nitrogen fertiliser and manure in agriculture.

Tree-cover loss (Global Forest Watch / University of Maryland) counts the annual removal of tree canopy from any cause — logging, fire, clearing for farmland — at ≥30 m resolution. It is loss, not net change, so it does not subtract regrowth. This series is currently seed-only: no faithful public year-by-year feed is wired for live refresh (see docs/DATA_SOURCES.md).

And two hopeful counter-trends. Renewables’ share of global electricity (Our World in Data, from Ember + the Energy Institute) stalled near 18% through the fossil-heavy 1990s–2000s, then climbed past a third as wind and solar scaled. And the electric-car share of new sales (IEA, via OWID) has gone from almost nothing to a quarter of all new cars in barely a decade — the clearest signs that the curves CAN bend the right way.

What bends this curve

Despair changes nothing; choices do. These habits measurably move the trend above — start with one, and ask the Earth guide how far it goes.

Moderate

Eat less red meat

Food is ~26% of global emissions, and beef is the single most carbon-intensive food. Shifting to a plant-rich diet can cut your food footprint by up to ~50%.

Committed

Fly less, and offset what you must

One round-trip transatlantic flight emits ~1.6 t CO₂ per passenger — about a year of a low-carbon lifestyle. Swapping one flight for rail or a call is one of the biggest single cuts you can make.

Easy

Switch to a green electricity tariff

Electricity and heat are the largest emitting sector. Moving your home to certified renewables can cut household power emissions to near zero overnight.

Easy

Waste less food

Roughly a third of all food is wasted; if it were a country it would be the 3rd-largest emitter. Planning meals and using leftovers cuts both your bin and your footprint.

Committed

Drive electric — or don’t drive

Transport is ~16% of emissions. Walking, cycling or an EV for short trips cuts both CO₂ and the PM2.5 that pollutes the air we breathe.